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Moody's: Easing of US restrictions is credit positive for Cuba

New York, January 22, 2015 -- The measures the US government recently announced scaling back its decades-old economic embargo are positive for Cuba's credit quality, says Moody's Investors Service in a new report. Moody's rates Cuba Caa2 with a stable outlook.

The looser restrictions should give the Cuban economy a lift that more than offsets the negative impact of potentially less assistance from Venezuela, its key ally, which is going through severe economic stress because of lower oil prices.

"The shift in US policy toward Cuba will have a positive effect on economic activity over the next 1-2 years, breathing new life into Cuba's economy, as it will likely more than offset the potential decrease in Venezuelan financial assistance," says , Jaime Reusche, a Moody's Vice Present -- Senior Analyst in the report "Cuba: US Eases Travel And Other Restrictions, A Credit Positive."

Official statistics show the Cuban economy expanding 2.7% in 2013, following 3.0% growth in 2012. Moody's estimates that growth slowed markedly to 0.8% in 2014 due to a decline in terms of trade, economic and political instability in Venezuela, and also due to much slower reforms momentum in Cuba.

https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-E...Cuba--PR_316988

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